What's happening in battleground states?

This FiveThirtyEight article identifies 4 Republican-leaning (Texas, Georgia, Pennsylvania, and North Carolina) and 4 Democratic-leaning (Florida, Arizona, Wisconsin, and Michigan) swings states. What’s happening to weekly deaths in each?

Weekly Deaths

In both cases, the July surge in pandemic deaths is impacting some states more than others, with Pennsylvania and Michigan so far avoiding the July surge and maintaining their early-state curves, while Texas, Arizona, and Florida are being hit hard.

Infectious

Looking at the likely infectious data, all states are on the rise. Fortunately, election day is still far in the future, but it is scary to see all the state rates growing.

If past experiences hold, we’ll expect to see deaths follow in about 3 weeks.

Note: imported from Covid Proxima. Click here to see all the interactive elements.